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James
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 Posting #1: Fri Nov 30th, 2007 03:52

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What do you folks think of the lower liner plantation companies? Amidst the global rise in the global edible oil prices, most plantation companies share price have risen in tandem but TDM seems to have fallen behind.

Looking at ratios, TDM indeed is a steal when compared to others of similar acreage size. TDM owns 64,000 acres (owned) and manages another 17000 acres. Based on the current market price of RM1.53, TDM's market capitalization is RM310m. This values TDM's plantation at RM5,152/acre, a fifth of Hap Seng plantation's whose recent IPO values it at RM27,500/acre. Granted the latter deserves a premium for higher yield but the disparity is far too great and wide.

Furthermore TDM is sitting on a pile of cash of RM74.5m (net) or in cash/share of 35sen. NTA is a further RM2.38 and not many plantation related companies trade below their NTA.

Monthly production statistics have shown a vast pickup in production and selling prices. Their most recent Q3's CPO is transacted at RM2015/tonne. It certainly appears there is upside to TDM's earnings from the plantation side.

Your thoughts please.



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Moolah
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 Posting #2: Fri Nov 30th, 2007 04:09

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James,

I raises one simple issue, selections.

There are simply too many to choose from. Let's see.. Swkplant, HSPlant, IJmPlant, Asiatic, SOP, BldPlant (even Cepat and Tanahmas having nice turnaroun - if one wants a specky flavour)...

So... many to choose from.... where does one start?

Oh... yes TDM should and could be considered.

rgds

James
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 Posting #3: Fri Nov 30th, 2007 04:11

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From the pricing standpoint, TDM does appear cheaper than most. Minus the cash, TDM's value becomes more apparent.

Moolah
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 Posting #4: Fri Nov 30th, 2007 04:32

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I am well aware of your point James. :)

Wish you the best.

:cheers1:

timcheeso
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 Posting #5: Fri Jul 3rd, 2009 17:58

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refer to mpob state statistic, Terengganu is the lowest ffb yield in country, although tdm estate all located in terengganu is beat the state average ,but it still unable to surpass 20ton,  i think 19ton is maximum even in the peak.

dicussion suddenly turn lone, i wonder if anybody could read this untimely argument.:p:

all things have two handles and two side , tdm is "presumed" a cheap selection if you consider the annually paid dividend and higher-than-expected cpo price , in regard of margin of safety.


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