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Moolah
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 Posting #11: Sat Nov 24th, 2007 02:26

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Here's an updated review on TRC.

A. Earnings

   TRC Synergy Bhd (5054.KU) - Malaysia
   3rd quarter ended Sep. 30:
   Figures are in Ringgit (MYR).

                                 2007               2006
Revenue                MYR125,983,000      MYR67,013,000
Pretax Profit               7,733,000          5,913,000
Net Profit                  5,375,000          4,518,000
Earnings Per Share           4.03 Sen           4.28 Sen
Dividend                      Omitted            Omitted

   9 months ended Sep. 30:

Revenue                   300,561,000        171,274,000
Pretax Profit              30,232,000         11,240,000
Net Profit                 22,080,000          7,685,000
Earnings Per Share          16.93 Sen           7.28 Sen
Dividend                      Omitted            Omitted 


 

1. As can be seen from the above table, on a yearly basis TRC has done exceptionally well. Current ytd earnings of 22.080 million almost triples last ytd same period. ( I would not read much into the earnings per share because it's not accurate as TRC has had some changes in its capital structure)



2) On a quarterly basis, current Q3 earnings of 5.375 million pales in comparison to what TRC did the previous quarter.

In my opinion, I probably would not read too much into it as it's not that conclusive because usually construction companies tends to have unpredictable q-q earnings. Best example that I could think of was AZRB case. A coouple years ago, it's q-q earnings kept showing a quarter good and the next quarter poor earnings trend.

Ah.. of course this issue is subjective. If one is scepticial, then there is just reasoning to do so.

3) Let's compare to the earlier review done.

If you look at the third posting, I made 3 points. Now I would want to focus on these 3 points.

1. Trailing earnings indicates an earnings of 21.768. Which indicates that it's very possible that TRC is on track to record its most profitable fiscal year in its history.
If you look at the updated earnings table that I have compiled, trailing earnings is now 22.625 million. Trailing earnings equates to the most recent 4 quarterly earnings. And it does appear that TRC should be well on its record its most profitable fiscal year in its history.

2. If one looks at its trailing numbers, it includes an extremely week 06 Q4 earnings of only 0.545  million. Which means that TRC's could easily outperform some more.
Yes... that week Q4 earnings is still included. This means TRC could still easily outperform! Meaning TRC should easily earn much more than 22 million this fiscal year.

3. With half year earnings at 16.7 million... err.. annualised earnings indicates that TRC could even record an earnings of some 32 million!
Current ytd earnings is at 22.080 million. At an annualised basis, TRC is now projected to earn some 29.44 million. Yes. the annualised projection is less (I do not like to use annualised earnings for it assumes that the company perform as per average)

4. So is the turnaround in earnings possible?
How?

For me, from day one, in my opinion, TRC should be considered a turnaround story, and at this moment of time, wouldn't you not agree?

 

.... to be continued....

 



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Moolah
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 Posting #12: Sat Nov 24th, 2007 02:46

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B. Balance Sheet



The above table says it all.

Yes, TRC has had the rights+ICUL issue but what it has done since has been rather impressive.

Let's look at the Rights+ICUL issue. This exercise was completed in Jan 2007. If you look at current quarterly earnings cash flow, TRC indicated the following:

Proceeds from Rights Issue of shares   30,800,000
Proceeds from issuance of ICULS   30,800,000


So my interpretation would be some 61.6 million was generated from this exercise.

Now at current moment of time, TRC is now at a net cash position of 66.541 million. The quarter before the rights issue was complemented was 2006 Q4. TRC then was in a nett debt position of 44.361 million.

So for a company that was in nett debt of 44.361 million, TRC has now turned around to a company in a nett cash of 66.541 million. Yes, some 61.6 was generated from the rights/icul exercise but this is rather impressive. Yes?

And if you look at the balance sheet, the big improvement comes from TRC reduction in its trade receivables. In the current quarterly earnings, TRC indicated the following:

Trade & other receivables  135,104,237  vs  168,123,758

 



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Moolah
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 Posting #13: Sat Nov 24th, 2007 03:08

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c. Capital Dilutions

Yes, the earnings per share are diluted by some constant conversion of ICULs and ESOS. This is a fact.

Now to get the best idea on what is happening.. look at this announcement.

ANNOUNCEMENT TO BURSA MALAYSIA SECURITIES BERHAD (“BURSA SECURITIES”) BY MALAYSIAN INTERNATIONAL MERCHANT BANKERS BERHAD (“MIMB”), FOR AND ON BEHALF OF TRC SYNERGY BERHAD (“TRCS” OR THE “COMPANY”), IN RELATION TO THE FOLLOWING:- - PROPOSED RIGHTS ISSUE - PROPOSED INCREASE IN AUTHORISED SHARE CAPITAL - PROPOSED AMENDMENTS TO THE MEMORANDUM AND ARTICLES OF ASSOCIATION OF TRCS (COLLECTIVELY KNOWN AS “THE PROPOSALS”)

Open the third wordfile. That should give a better picture.

So where is what I will do. TRC's rights issue was a long drawn affair. It was proposed in 2005 and completed only in Jan 2007.

SO what i will do is... I will acknowledge this 10% dilution due to ESOS. (actually this is a non-issue to me. Most company's have a standard 10% ESOS thingee.) And if you look back then, TRC had at most an oustanding ESOS of 13.860 million shares.

Next what i will do is.. I will open my live charts. I will use RHB live charting info.

TRC       =  139.129 million.
TRC LA  = 17.868 million
TRC Wa = 30.800 million


Assuming full conversion of warrants and la.. and if u add in the ESOS (i will just use 13.86 - this will be a slightly larger estimate) TRC should have roughly 192.733 million shares.

Now this is the figure I would base my computation of eps upon. This way... there is no potential shock for me in the future.

OK?

 

 



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Moolah
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 Posting #14: Sat Nov 24th, 2007 03:19

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Last but not least...

yes.... KN and OSK has continued their optimistic view on the stock.

However, if you open the quarterly earnings, in the wordfile, there is a comment to note...

A wholly-owned subsidiary of the Group, Trans Resources Corporation Sdn Bhd, has received a letter of intend dated 9 November 2007 from the Government of Malaysia through ‘Jabatan Kerja Raya’ in relation to the Government’s intention to award the subsidiary company a project known as ‘Projek Menaik Taraf Lapangan Terbang Kuala Terengganu: Kerja-Kerja Pemanjangan Landasan Ke Arah Laut; Pembinaan Infrastruktur dan Kerja-Kerja Kawalan Hakisan Pantai’ on a joint venture basis.

The performance of the Group shall continue to be encouraging for the current financial year due to the positive contribution from the on-going projects which are currently being undertaken. However, it is unlikely that the Company’s initial internal turnover estimate of RM450 million for 2007 will be met. This is largely due to the fact that the letter of award for the University KL project has yet to be received. The project was initially targeted to commence in the second quarter of 2007 in the turnover estimate.

I do like what I am reading. The company has been extremely candid in giving their views and even state that the Q4 of 2007 could be lower due to the slow receiving of the letter of contract for the University KL project. Pretty nice. No twisting and no turning.

Lastly, TRC made another announcement. It does look like the company is attempting to forray into the O&G sector. And what's rather impressive is that TRC is going into Brunei!

A Subsidiary of TRC Synergy Berhad Acquired 26% shares of a Brunei Oil and Gas Company, PetroBru (B) Sdn Bhd

How?

 






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 Posting #15: Wed Feb 27th, 2008 10:20

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    TRC Synergy Bhd (5054.KU) - Malaysia
   4th quarter ended Dec. 31:
   Figures are in Ringgit (MYR).

                                 2007               2006
Revenue                   121,511,000         54,403,000
Pretax Profit              11,504,000          1,873,000
Net Profit                  7,390,000          2,835,000
Earnings Per Share           5.19 Sen           2.69 Sen
Dividend                      Omitted            Omitted

   12 months ended Dec. 31:

Revenue                   422,072,000        225,677,000
Pretax Profit              41,736,000         13,113,000
Net Profit                 29,470,000         10,521,000
Earnings Per Share          22.09 Sen           9.98 Sen
Dividend                      Omitted            Omitted



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Moolah
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 Posting #16: Wed Feb 27th, 2008 10:31

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here is the updated tables..



 



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 Posting #17: Thu Feb 28th, 2008 02:03

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This is what the company said regarding its future prospects:

On 19 December 2007, the Group's wholly-owned subsidiary, Trans Resources Corporation Sdn Bhd ('TRC'), received the letter of award from Putrajaya Holdings Sdn Bhd in relation to the TRC's tender to undertake the Construction and Completion of the Remaining Works for Government Quarters Development at Zones 3A, 9A, 10B, 12B, 11A & B, 10A1, 10A2 and 6B in Precinct 11, Putrajaya for a contract sum of RM115,452,595.85.

TRC has also received a letter of intend dated 9 November 2007 from the Government of Malaysia through 'Jabatan Kerja Raya' in relation to the Government's intention to award the subsidiary company a project known as 'Projek Menaik Taraf Lapangan Terbang Kuala Terengganu: Kerja-Kerja Pemanjangan Landasan Ke Arah Laut; Pembinaan Infrastruktur dan Kerja-Kerja Kawalan Hakisan Pantai'.

The performance of the Group shall continue to be encouraging for the coming financial year due to the positive contribution from the new and on-going projects which are currently being undertaken. However, the Company's unaudited revenue of RM422 million for the financial year ended 31 December 2007 falls short of its initial internal estimate of RM450 million.  This is largely due to the fact that the letter of award for the University KL project has yet to be received. The project was initially targeted to commence in the second quarter of 2007 as assumed in the turnover estimate.

 



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Moolah
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 Posting #18: Tue May 27th, 2008 10:24

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   TRC Synergy Bhd (5054.KU) - Malaysia
   1st quarter ended Mar. 31:
   Figures are in Ringgit (MYR).

                                 2008               2007
Revenue                   137,348,000         73,029,000
Pretax Profit              16,890,000          9,455,000
Net Profit                 11,978,000          6,511,000
Earnings Per Share           8.52 Sen           5.34 Sen
Dividend                      Omitted            Omitted 



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